538 Interactive Map 2024. The 538 probabilistic forecast model relaunched friday, updated to reflect a harris vs. Choose whether president trump or joe biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral.
An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below.